It’s not often when I comment about the political scene in the world, but I figure today is a good day. Today, Iran has decided that it is resuming nuclear fuel enrichment, which could be used to make nuclear weapons. Understandibly, along with Iran’s extensive missle program, a “nuclear Iran” is not something the West (specifically Europe and the United States, much less Israel) would even tolerate.
Let’s detail a little bit why today, Iran made a stunningly important political move:
First and foremost, this is the perfect time to provoke the US into another large disaster. The U.S., still reeling from natural disasters from the Fall of 2005 & current political scandles, is a bit weak at the moment. The Iranians are not stupid – they beat Iraq in the 1980s even when the United States was giving Iraq weapons and support, including WMDs. The Iranians can see that public support the U.S. operations in Afghanistan and Iraq are dwindling. Public support for future operations in the Middle East will be next to impossible to garnish public support for, much less win.
The EU is in now way prepared to fight Iran without U.S. help, and Iran knows this.
Israel, with the current lack of leadership given Sharon’s recent illness, is in a weakened state. Iran sees this, and is taking advantage.
Now, North Korea has decided that unless the U.S. lifts the current economic sanctions against the country, there is no point in addressing their nuke issues with the U.S.
Indeed, an interesting day, and the coming days will be even more interesting, as we’ll see how the U.S. and the EU handle Iran’s latest incident.
Hopefully, Israel won’t premptively strike Iran’s reactors, like they did in Iraq in the early 1980’s.